SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 63.78%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Leicester City Women had a probability of 17.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.98%) and 1-3 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for a Leicester City Women win it was 2-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City Women | Draw | Arsenal Women |
17.65% ( -0.03) | 18.56% ( -0.01) | 63.78% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 63.1% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.17% ( -0.03) | 30.82% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.82% ( -0.04) | 52.18% ( 0.04) |
| Leicester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.54% ( -0.05) | 30.46% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.33% ( -0.06) | 66.66% ( 0.06) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.74% ( -0) | 9.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.72% ( 0) | 31.27% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City Women | Draw | Arsenal Women |
| 2-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 3.35% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 1.99% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.46% Total : 17.65% | 1-1 @ 7.97% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.82% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0)Other @ 0.35% Total : 18.56% | 1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.98% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 7.53% ( 0)0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 6.33% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 4.48% ( 0)2-3 @ 4.48% ( -0)0-4 @ 3.77% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.66% ( -0)1-5 @ 2.13% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.79% ( 0)2-5 @ 1.27% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 4.1% Total : 63.78% |
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