Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 52.86%. A win for Leicester City Women had a probability of 24.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Leicester City Women win was 2-1 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Manchester United Women in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester United Women.
Result | ||
Leicester City Women | Draw | Manchester United Women |
24.21% ( -0.53) | 22.93% ( 0.02) | 52.86% ( 0.51) |
Both teams to score 57.73% ( -0.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.49% ( -0.61) | 42.5% ( 0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.09% ( -0.62) | 64.91% ( 0.62) |
Leicester City Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.8% ( -0.76) | 31.19% ( 0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.46% ( -0.9) | 67.53% ( 0.9) |
Manchester United Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.9% ( -0.04) | 16.09% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.51% ( -0.08) | 45.49% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Leicester City Women | Draw | Manchester United Women |
2-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.79% Total : 24.21% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.92% | 1-2 @ 9.76% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 8.38% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 5.94% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.71% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.33% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 3.44% Total : 52.86% |
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