Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leixoes win with a probability of 63.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Alcains had a probability of 13.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leixoes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.82%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for an Alcains win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leixoes would win this match.
0.13) 
-0.01) 
