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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Dec 12, 2020 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
M

Lens
2 - 3
Montpellier

Omlin (36' og.), Kakuta (50' pen.)
Cahuzac (75')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Mavididi (16'), Mendes (26'), Laborde (69')
Mendes (38')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
LensDrawMontpellier HSC
39.31%28.47%32.22%
Both teams to score 45.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.71%60.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.54%80.46%
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.14%29.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.05%65.95%
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.54%34.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.83%71.17%
Score Analysis
    Lens 39.31%
    Montpellier HSC 32.22%
    Draw 28.46%
LensDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 12.43%
2-1 @ 8.01%
2-0 @ 7.51%
3-1 @ 3.23%
3-0 @ 3.03%
3-2 @ 1.72%
4-1 @ 0.98%
4-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 39.31%
1-1 @ 13.25%
0-0 @ 10.28%
2-2 @ 4.27%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.46%
0-1 @ 10.96%
1-2 @ 7.06%
0-2 @ 5.84%
1-3 @ 2.51%
0-3 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 32.22%

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