Liechtenstein
1 - 4
Iceland

Frick (79')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Mar Saevarsson (12'), Bjarnason (45+1'), Palsson (77'), Mar Sigurjonsson (90+4' pen.)

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Liechtenstein and Iceland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iceland win with a probability of 41%. A win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iceland win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Liechtenstein win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iceland would win this match.

Result
Liechtenstein	Draw	Iceland
33.36%	25.63%	41%

Both teams to score 54.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51%

48.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.92%

71.07%

Liechtenstein Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.04%

27.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.4%

63.59%

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.32%

23.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.21%

57.78%

Score Analysis

Liechtenstein 33.36%

Iceland 41%

Draw 25.63%

Liechtenstein	Draw	Iceland
1-0 @ 8.44% 2-1 @ 7.75% 2-0 @ 5.38% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 2.37% 3-0 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.82% Total : 33.36%	1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.63%	0-1 @ 9.54% 1-2 @ 8.76% 0-2 @ 6.87% 1-3 @ 4.21% 0-3 @ 3.3% 2-3 @ 2.68% 1-4 @ 1.52% 0-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.99% Total : 41%