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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 18
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Windsor Park

Linfield
4 - 0
Ballymena

Fitzpatrick (10', 78'), Millar (23'), McClean (66')
East (49')
FT(HT: 2-0)

McGrory (36')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Linfield and Ballymena United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Linfield 1-2 Larne
Saturday, November 11 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 5-0 Ballymena
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 84.07%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 4.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.69%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.28%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (1.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.

Result
LinfieldDrawBallymena United
84.07% (0.127 0.13) 11.1% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09) 4.83% (-0.043 -0.04)
Both teams to score 40.63% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.36% (0.232 0.23)33.63% (-0.235 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.55% (0.264 0.26)55.45% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.23% (0.067000000000007 0.07)5.76% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.79% (0.196 0.2)22.21% (-0.199 -0.2)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.11% (0.012999999999998 0.01)56.88% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.02% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)88.97% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Linfield 84.05%
    Ballymena United 4.83%
    Draw 11.1%
LinfieldDrawBallymena United
2-0 @ 13.34% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 12.69%
1-0 @ 9.36% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
4-0 @ 9.06% (0.041 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 5.17% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 5.11% (0.025 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.92% (0.027 0.03)
6-0 @ 2.46% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.008 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.39% (0.018 0.02)
7-0 @ 1% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 84.05%
1-1 @ 5.28% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.28% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-2 @ 2.12% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 11.1%
0-1 @ 1.85% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 1.49% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 4.83%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Linfield 1-2 Larne
Saturday, November 11 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-3 Linfield
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 5-1 Loughgall
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Cliftonville 0-1 Linfield
Friday, October 20 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 1-2 Linfield
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 2-0 Glentoran
Friday, October 6 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 5-0 Ballymena
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 0-1 Glenavon
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Loughgall 5-2 Ballymena
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 1-1 Dungannon
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 3-1 Coleraine
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 1-0 Ballymena
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership


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