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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 1
Oct 17, 2020 at 3pm UK
 

Linfield
5 - 1
Carrick

Waterworth (3', 13', 72'), Callacher (57'), McGivern (63')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Loughran (25' pen.)
Surgenor (54')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Linfield and Carrick Rangers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 58.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 18.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.

Result
LinfieldDrawCarrick Rangers
58.91%22.15%18.95%
Both teams to score 52.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.44%45.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.11%67.89%
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.88%15.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.32%43.68%
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.07%37.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.3%74.7%
Score Analysis
    Linfield 58.9%
    Carrick Rangers 18.95%
    Draw 22.14%
LinfieldDrawCarrick Rangers
1-0 @ 10.83%
2-0 @ 10.23%
2-1 @ 9.92%
3-0 @ 6.45%
3-1 @ 6.25%
4-0 @ 3.04%
3-2 @ 3.03%
4-1 @ 2.95%
4-2 @ 1.43%
5-0 @ 1.15%
5-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 58.9%
1-1 @ 10.5%
0-0 @ 5.74%
2-2 @ 4.81%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.14%
0-1 @ 5.56%
1-2 @ 5.09%
0-2 @ 2.7%
1-3 @ 1.65%
2-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 18.95%


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