Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 69.67%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Coleraine had a probability of 13.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a Coleraine win it was 1-2 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.