Liverpool
3 - 3
Penarol

Martinez (14'), Fernandez (41'), Medina (54')
Garcia (26'), Perez (67'), Lentinelly (69'), Diaz (86')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ceppelini (60' pen., 90+3' pen.), Alvarez (65')
Canobbio (61'), Ceppelini (62'), Alvarez (88')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Liverpool and Penarol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Liverpool	Draw	Penarol
27.85%	26.23%	45.93%

Both teams to score 50.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.35%

53.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.86%

75.14%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.78%

34.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.09%

70.91%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.69%

23.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.74%

57.26%

Score Analysis

Liverpool 27.85%

Penarol 45.92%

Draw 26.22%

Liverpool	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 8.56% 2-1 @ 6.68% 2-0 @ 4.59% 3-1 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 1.74% 3-0 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.26% Total : 27.85%	1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 7.98% 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.22%	0-1 @ 11.61% 1-2 @ 9.07% 0-2 @ 8.46% 1-3 @ 4.4% 0-3 @ 4.11% 2-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.6% 0-4 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.82% Total : 45.92%