Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 48.91%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 2-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
