SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 68.21%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 13.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Liverpool Women win it was 2-1 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Manchester City Women in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City Women.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
13.49% ( 0.33) | 18.29% ( 0.23) | 68.21% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 53.38% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.52% ( -0.32) | 38.47% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.23% ( -0.34) | 60.76% ( 0.34) |
| Liverpool Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.51% ( 0.28) | 40.48% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.9% ( 0.25) | 77.09% ( -0.25) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.7% ( -0.22) | 10.3% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.28% ( -0.51) | 33.72% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
| 2-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.64% Total : 13.49% | 1-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.29% | 0-2 @ 10.77% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 8.16% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 7.38% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 4.64% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 4.19% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.34% ( 0)0-5 @ 2.11% ( -0.07)1-5 @ 1.91% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.6% Total : 68.21% |
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