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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 22
Mar 14, 2021 at 4pm UK
Lokomotiv Stadium

Lokomotiv
3 - 1
Sochi

Kamano (42', 56'), Smolov (88')
Rybchinsky (7'), Zhemaletdinov (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Yusupov (58')
Prutsev (45+1'), Miladinovic (90+4')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Lokomotiv Moscow and Sochi.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Sochi win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotiv Moscow would win this match.

Result
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawSochi
46.88%25.11%28.01%
Both teams to score 54.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.97%49.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.89%71.1%
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.06%20.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.32%53.68%
Sochi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.35%31.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.94%68.06%
Score Analysis
    Lokomotiv Moscow 46.87%
    Sochi 28.01%
    Draw 25.11%
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawSochi
1-0 @ 10.36%
2-1 @ 9.32%
2-0 @ 8.1%
3-1 @ 4.86%
3-0 @ 4.22%
3-2 @ 2.79%
4-1 @ 1.9%
4-0 @ 1.65%
4-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 46.87%
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 6.63%
2-2 @ 5.36%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.63%
1-2 @ 6.86%
0-2 @ 4.39%
1-3 @ 2.63%
2-3 @ 2.06%
0-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 28.01%

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