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Europa League | First Qualifying Round
Aug 27, 2020 at 6pm UK
Mikheil Meskhis Sakhelobis Stadionis Satadarigo Moedani
UC

Lokomotivi Tbilisi
2 - 1
U Craiova

Sikharulidze (57'), Oulad Omar (61')
Ubilava (13')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Baiaram (90+4')
Vatajelu (38'), Koljic (48'), Acka (54'), Constantin (62'), Screciu (69')
Coverage of the Europa League First Qualifying Round clash between Lokomotiv Tbilisi and Universitatea Craiova.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitatea Craiova win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Lokomotivi Tbilisi had a probability of 17.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universitatea Craiova win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.69%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Lokomotivi Tbilisi win it was 1-0 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Lokomotiv TbilisiDrawUniversitatea Craiova
17.38%23.37%59.25%
Both teams to score 46.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.19%52.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.56%74.43%
Lokomotiv Tbilisi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.98%44.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.86%80.14%
Universitatea Craiova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.46%17.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.94%48.06%
Score Analysis
    Lokomotiv Tbilisi 17.38%
    Universitatea Craiova 59.23%
    Draw 23.36%
Lokomotiv TbilisiDrawUniversitatea Craiova
1-0 @ 6.33%
2-1 @ 4.52%
2-0 @ 2.6%
3-1 @ 1.24%
3-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 17.38%
1-1 @ 11.02%
0-0 @ 7.72%
2-2 @ 3.94%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 23.36%
0-1 @ 13.43%
0-2 @ 11.69%
1-2 @ 9.6%
0-3 @ 6.79%
1-3 @ 5.57%
0-4 @ 2.96%
1-4 @ 2.43%
2-3 @ 2.29%
0-5 @ 1.03%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 59.23%


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