Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 42.93%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.

Result
Lorient	Draw	Clermont
42.93% ( 0.35)	25.14% ( -0.14)	31.93% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 56.14% (

0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.72% (

0.56)

47.27% (

-0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.5% (

0.52)

69.5% (

-0.52)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78% (

0.41)

21.99% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.7% (

0.61)

55.3% (

-0.62)

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.96% (

0.14)

28.03% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.31% (

0.18)

63.68% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Lorient 42.93%

Clermont 31.93%

Draw 25.14%

Lorient	Draw	Clermont
1-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.37% Total : 42.93%	1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.14%	0-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 31.93%