SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Loughgall had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Loughgall win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Loughgall | Draw | Cliftonville |
30.69% ( -0.24) | 23.8% ( -0.07) | 45.51% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 60.2% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.31% ( 0.19) | 41.69% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.91% ( 0.19) | 64.09% ( -0.19) |
| Loughgall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.92% ( -0.06) | 26.07% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.87% ( -0.08) | 61.12% ( 0.08) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.43% ( 0.2) | 18.56% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.18% ( 0.34) | 49.82% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Loughgall | Draw | Cliftonville |
| 2-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 30.69% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.79% | 1-2 @ 9.23% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.18% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.49% Total : 45.51% |
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