SM
| Current League C3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bulgaria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luxembourg | Draw | Bulgaria |
41.33% ( 0.03) | 28.04% ( -0.04) | 30.63% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.66% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.8% ( 0.13) | 59.2% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.38% ( 0.1) | 79.62% ( -0.1) |
| Luxembourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.82% ( 0.08) | 28.18% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.13% ( 0.1) | 63.87% ( -0.1) |
| Bulgaria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.96% ( 0.07) | 35.03% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.22% ( 0.08) | 71.78% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luxembourg | Draw | Bulgaria |
| 1-0 @ 12.5% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.92% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 1.75% Total : 41.33% | 1-1 @ 13.11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.04% | 0-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.43% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.14% Total : 30.62% |
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