Luzern
2 - 3
Lugano

Ugrinic (21'), Sorgic (72' pen.)
Ugrinic (30')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Abubakar (3'), Celar (35'), Bottani (45')
Bottani (28'), Lovric (39'), Hajrizi (63'), Daprela (71'), Lavanchy (87'), Osigwe (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Luzern and Lugano.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Lugano win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Luzern	Draw	Lugano
38.04%	25.94%	36.02%

Both teams to score 54.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.07%

49.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.08%

71.91%

Luzern Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.34%

25.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.44%

60.56%

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.2%

26.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.91%

62.09%

Score Analysis

Luzern 38.04%

Lugano 36.02%

Draw 25.93%

Luzern	Draw	Lugano
1-0 @ 9.35% 2-1 @ 8.38% 2-0 @ 6.36% 3-1 @ 3.8% 3-0 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.5% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.49% Total : 38.04%	1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 6.88% 2-2 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.93%	0-1 @ 9.05% 1-2 @ 8.11% 0-2 @ 5.96% 1-3 @ 3.56% 0-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 2.42% 1-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.13% Total : 36.02%