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European Under-21s Championship | Qualifying Round
Sep 3, 2020 at 5.45pm UK
Nacionalna Arena Filip II
SN

North Macedonia U21s
0 - 1
Spain U21s


Zdravkovski (33'), Antovski (41'), Serafimov (82'), Churlinov (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Duro (83' pen.)
Gomez (16'), Villar (71'), Zubimendi (85'), Merino (87')
Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Qualifying Round clash between North Macedonia Under-21s and Spain Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-21s win with a probability of 59.94%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for North Macedonia Under-21s had a probability of 18.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-21s win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.61%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a North Macedonia Under-21s win it was 1-0 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Spain Under-21s in this match.

Result
North Macedonia Under-21sDrawSpain Under-21s
18.06%22%59.94%
Both teams to score 51.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.75%46.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.46%68.55%
North Macedonia Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.67%39.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.97%76.03%
Spain Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.99%15.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.51%43.49%
Score Analysis
    North Macedonia Under-21s 18.06%
    Spain Under-21s 59.93%
    Draw 22%
North Macedonia Under-21sDrawSpain Under-21s
1-0 @ 5.51%
2-1 @ 4.88%
2-0 @ 2.57%
3-1 @ 1.52%
3-2 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 18.06%
1-1 @ 10.45%
0-0 @ 5.91%
2-2 @ 4.62%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22%
0-1 @ 11.19%
0-2 @ 10.61%
1-2 @ 9.91%
0-3 @ 6.71%
1-3 @ 6.26%
0-4 @ 3.18%
1-4 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 2.92%
2-4 @ 1.39%
0-5 @ 1.21%
1-5 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 59.93%


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