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Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Apr 3, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
AB

Mainz 05
1 - 1
Arminia Bielefeld

Brosinski (56' pen.)
Bell (13'), Latza (73'), Barreiro (80'), Hack (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Voglsammer (76')
Lucoqui (14')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawArminia Bielefeld
42.2%28.08%29.73%
Both teams to score 46.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.41%59.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.08%79.93%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.11%27.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.5%63.5%
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.07%35.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.3%72.71%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 42.19%
    Arminia Bielefeld 29.72%
    Draw 28.07%
Mainz 05DrawArminia Bielefeld
1-0 @ 12.79%
2-1 @ 8.36%
2-0 @ 8.17%
3-1 @ 3.56%
3-0 @ 3.48%
3-2 @ 1.82%
4-1 @ 1.14%
4-0 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 42.19%
1-1 @ 13.09%
0-0 @ 10.02%
2-2 @ 4.28%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.07%
0-1 @ 10.25%
1-2 @ 6.7%
0-2 @ 5.25%
1-3 @ 2.29%
0-3 @ 1.79%
2-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 29.72%

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