Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 62.86%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 3-1 (7.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Borussia Dortmund win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester City in this match.
