Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 71.46%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 12.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 3-1 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.1%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur win it was 1-2 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
