SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-21s win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.38%) and 1-0 (5.19%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
43.65% ( -0.19) | 21.78% ( -0.01) | 34.58% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 69.59% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.89% ( 0.14) | 30.11% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.68% ( 0.17) | 51.32% ( -0.17) |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.29% ( -0.01) | 14.7% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.1% ( -0.03) | 42.89% ( 0.02) |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.59% ( 0.16) | 18.41% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.44% ( 0.27) | 49.56% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.18% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.46% Total : 43.65% | 1-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.6% Total : 21.78% | 1-2 @ 7.43% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 4.02% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 34.58% |
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