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Premier League | Gameweek 17
Jan 1, 2021 at 8pm UK
Old Trafford
AV

Man Utd
2 - 1
Aston Villa

Martial (40'), Fernandes (61' pen.)
Maguire (49'), Bailly (55'), Shaw (89'), Matic (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Traore (58')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 53.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 23.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Manchester UnitedDrawAston Villa
53.61%23.24%23.15%
Both teams to score 55.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.99%45.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.64%67.36%
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.27%16.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.36%46.65%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.53%33.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.9%70.11%
Score Analysis
    Manchester United 53.61%
    Aston Villa 23.15%
    Draw 23.23%
Manchester UnitedDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 9.8%
2-0 @ 8.95%
3-1 @ 5.84%
3-0 @ 5.33%
3-2 @ 3.2%
4-1 @ 2.61%
4-0 @ 2.38%
4-2 @ 1.43%
5-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 53.61%
1-1 @ 10.95%
0-0 @ 5.6%
2-2 @ 5.36%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.23%
0-1 @ 6.13%
1-2 @ 6%
0-2 @ 3.35%
1-3 @ 2.19%
2-3 @ 1.96%
0-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 23.15%

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