Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 28, 2020 at 8pm UK

Old Trafford

Man Utd
5 - 0
RB Leipzig

Greenwood (21'), Rashford (74', 78', 90+2'), Martial (87' pen.)
Matic (34')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Henrichs (46'), Kluivert (77'), Sabitzer (86')

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 50.34%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 22.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 0-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Manchester United	Draw	RB Leipzig
50.34%	27.6%	22.06%

Both teams to score 41.75%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.69%

62.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.04%

81.96%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.95%

25.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.28%

59.72%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.7%

44.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.63%

80.36%

Score Analysis

Manchester United 50.33%

RB Leipzig 22.06%

Draw 27.59%

Manchester United	Draw	RB Leipzig
1-0 @ 15.35% 2-0 @ 10.63% 2-1 @ 8.66% 3-0 @ 4.91% 3-1 @ 4% 4-0 @ 1.7% 3-2 @ 1.63% 4-1 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.08% Total : 50.33%	1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 11.09% 2-2 @ 3.53% Other @ 0.47% Total : 27.59%	0-1 @ 9.03% 1-2 @ 5.09% 0-2 @ 3.68% 1-3 @ 1.38% 0-3 @ 1% 2-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.92% Total : 22.06%