SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Liverpool Women win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Liverpool Women |
47.6% ( 0.3) | 24.17% ( -0.04) | 28.23% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 57.29% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.19% ( -0.02) | 44.81% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.83% ( -0.02) | 67.17% ( 0.01) |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.05% ( 0.11) | 18.94% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.54% ( 0.19) | 50.46% ( -0.2) |
| Liverpool Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.69% ( -0.2) | 29.31% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.71% ( -0.25) | 65.29% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Liverpool Women |
| 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.26% Total : 47.6% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.55% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.16% | 1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.35% Total : 28.23% |
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