SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for Celje had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Celje win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maribor | Draw | Celje |
45.56% ( -0.62) | 25.06% ( 0.21) | 29.38% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 55.12% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.98% ( -0.68) | 48.02% ( 0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.81% ( -0.63) | 70.19% ( 0.62) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.89% ( -0.55) | 21.11% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.06% ( -0.86) | 53.94% ( 0.86) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.87% ( -0.06) | 30.13% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.72% ( -0.07) | 66.28% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maribor | Draw | Celje |
| 1-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.56% Total : 45.56% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.17% Total : 29.38% |
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