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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22
Mar 7, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio dos Barreiros
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Maritimo
0 - 2
Moreirense


Jean (29'), Joel (45+3'), Morais (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Soares (23', 89')
D'Alberto (14'), Pacheco (47')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 39.16%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 29.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.03%) and 1-2 (7.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.95%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.

Result
MaritimoDrawMoreirense
29.87%30.97%39.16%
Both teams to score 38.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.49%68.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.73%86.27%
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.19%40.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.62%77.38%
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.79%34.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.1%70.9%
Score Analysis
    Maritimo 29.87%
    Moreirense 39.15%
    Draw 30.96%
MaritimoDrawMoreirense
1-0 @ 12.51%
2-1 @ 6.02%
2-0 @ 5.61%
3-1 @ 1.8%
3-0 @ 1.68%
3-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 29.87%
0-0 @ 13.95%
1-1 @ 13.42%
2-2 @ 3.23%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 30.96%
0-1 @ 14.97%
0-2 @ 8.03%
1-2 @ 7.2%
0-3 @ 2.87%
1-3 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 39.15%

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