Mariupol
2 - 3
Chornomorets

Kulakov (13'), Myshnyov (82' pen.)
Shostak (45'), Mampasi (55'), V'Yunnik (77'), Kulakov (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mykhailenko (16'), Avagimian (46'), Fomin (55' pen.)
Fomin (37'), Tsitaishvili (62'), Vanat (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Mariupol and Chornomorets Odesa.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chornomorets Odesa win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Mariupol had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chornomorets Odesa win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Mariupol win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chornomorets Odesa would win this match.

Result
Mariupol	Draw	Chornomorets Odesa
31.16%	25.59%	43.24%

Both teams to score 54.32%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.51%

49.49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.47%

71.52%

Mariupol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.36%

29.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.31%

65.68%

Chornomorets Odesa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.2%

22.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.5%

56.49%

Score Analysis

Mariupol 31.16%

Chornomorets Odesa 43.24%

Draw 25.58%

Mariupol	Draw	Chornomorets Odesa
1-0 @ 8.21% 2-1 @ 7.39% 2-0 @ 5% 3-1 @ 2.99% 3-2 @ 2.21% 3-0 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.43% Total : 31.16%	1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 6.76% 2-2 @ 5.46% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.58%	0-1 @ 9.99% 1-2 @ 8.98% 0-2 @ 7.39% 1-3 @ 4.43% 0-3 @ 3.64% 2-3 @ 2.69% 1-4 @ 1.64% 0-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.15% Total : 43.24%