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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 22
Apr 18, 2021 at 3pm UK
Volodymyr Boiko Stadium

Mariupol
1 - 1
Olimpik Donetsk

Kulakov (5'), Nkeng (26' pen.)
Drame (47'), Babenko (56'), Kulakov (63')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Mariupol and Olimpik Donetsk.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mariupol win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Olimpik Donetsk had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mariupol win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Olimpik Donetsk win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
MariupolDrawOlimpik Donetsk
38.09%25.2%36.71%
Both teams to score 57.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.43%46.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.16%68.84%
Mariupol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.91%24.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.62%58.38%
Olimpik Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.16%24.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.56%59.44%
Score Analysis
    Mariupol 38.09%
    Olimpik Donetsk 36.71%
    Draw 25.19%
MariupolDrawOlimpik Donetsk
1-0 @ 8.52%
2-1 @ 8.44%
2-0 @ 6.06%
3-1 @ 4.01%
3-0 @ 2.88%
3-2 @ 2.79%
4-1 @ 1.43%
4-0 @ 1.02%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 38.09%
1-1 @ 11.86%
0-0 @ 5.98%
2-2 @ 5.88%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 8.34%
1-2 @ 8.26%
0-2 @ 5.8%
1-3 @ 3.84%
2-3 @ 2.73%
0-3 @ 2.69%
1-4 @ 1.34%
2-4 @ 0.95%
0-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 36.71%

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