Mariupol
0 - 3
Shakhtar

Kuliev (5')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Moraes (35', 78' pen.), Solomon (37')
Bondar (61')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Mariupol and Shakhtar Donetsk.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 66.79%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Mariupol had a probability of 13.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.81%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Mariupol win it was 1-0 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Mariupol	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
13.42%	19.8%	66.79%

Both teams to score 47.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.47%

45.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.14%

67.87%

Mariupol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.93%

45.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.01%

80.99%

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.29%

12.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.08%

38.93%

Score Analysis

Mariupol 13.42%

Shakhtar Donetsk 66.77%

Draw 19.8%

Mariupol	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 4.57% 2-1 @ 3.75% 2-0 @ 1.82% 3-2 @ 1.03% 3-1 @ 1% Other @ 1.25% Total : 13.42%	1-1 @ 9.42% 0-0 @ 5.73% 2-2 @ 3.87% Other @ 0.79% Total : 19.8%	0-2 @ 12.18% 0-1 @ 11.81% 1-2 @ 9.71% 0-3 @ 8.38% 1-3 @ 6.68% 0-4 @ 4.32% 1-4 @ 3.45% 2-3 @ 2.66% 0-5 @ 1.78% 1-5 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 1.37% Other @ 3% Total : 66.77%