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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9
Jan 20, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
LL

Marseille
0 - 1
Lens


Gueye (55'), Balerdi (62'), Perrin (69'), Khaoui (81'), Cuisance (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Banza (59')
Haidara (19'), Banza (25'), Medina (55')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 47.61%. A win for Lens had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
MarseilleDrawLens
47.61%25.53%26.86%
Both teams to score 51.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.52%51.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.71%73.28%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.37%21.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.25%54.74%
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.16%33.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.49%70.51%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 47.6%
    Lens 26.86%
    Draw 25.53%
MarseilleDrawLens
1-0 @ 11.2%
2-1 @ 9.3%
2-0 @ 8.58%
3-1 @ 4.75%
3-0 @ 4.38%
3-2 @ 2.57%
4-1 @ 1.82%
4-0 @ 1.68%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 47.6%
1-1 @ 12.14%
0-0 @ 7.32%
2-2 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 7.93%
1-2 @ 6.58%
0-2 @ 4.3%
1-3 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 26.86%

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