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Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 1, 2020 at 8pm UK
Orange Vélodrome
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Marseille
2 - 1
Olympiacos

Payet (55' pen., 75' pen.)
Sakai (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Camara (33')
Holebas (58'), Camara (62'), Rafinha (73'), Marinos (90+6')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.34%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest Marseille win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
MarseilleDrawOlympiacos
35.49%23.88%40.63%
Both teams to score 61.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.5%40.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.13%62.87%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.28%22.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.62%56.38%
Olympiacos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.82%20.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.52%52.48%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 35.49%
    Olympiacos 40.63%
    Draw 23.88%
MarseilleDrawOlympiacos
2-1 @ 8.06%
1-0 @ 6.79%
2-0 @ 5.04%
3-1 @ 3.98%
3-2 @ 3.19%
3-0 @ 2.49%
4-1 @ 1.48%
4-2 @ 1.18%
4-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 35.49%
1-1 @ 10.87%
2-2 @ 6.45%
0-0 @ 4.58%
3-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.88%
1-2 @ 8.7%
0-1 @ 7.34%
0-2 @ 5.87%
1-3 @ 4.64%
2-3 @ 3.44%
0-3 @ 3.13%
1-4 @ 1.86%
2-4 @ 1.38%
0-4 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 40.63%

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