While the pressure is off the visitors, Mechelen may perform better given the desire to finish as the best of the rest. With that in mind, we are backing the home side to record a win, keeping a clean sheet in the process.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 47.46%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.
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