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Australian A-League | Gameweek 19
Jan 26, 2021 at 8.05am UK
Docklands Stadium
PG

Victory
2 - 1
Perth Glory

Brimmer (86', 90' pen.)
Shotton (45')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fornaroli (63')
Armiento (32')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawPerth Glory
34.25%24.89%40.86%
Both teams to score 57.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.52%45.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.18%67.81%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.26%25.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.33%60.66%
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.79%22.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.37%55.63%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 34.25%
    Perth Glory 40.86%
    Draw 24.89%
Melbourne VictoryDrawPerth Glory
2-1 @ 7.92%
1-0 @ 7.76%
2-0 @ 5.27%
3-1 @ 3.59%
3-2 @ 2.7%
3-0 @ 2.38%
4-1 @ 1.22%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 34.25%
1-1 @ 11.67%
2-2 @ 5.96%
0-0 @ 5.72%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.89%
1-2 @ 8.78%
0-1 @ 8.6%
0-2 @ 6.47%
1-3 @ 4.4%
0-3 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 2.99%
1-4 @ 1.66%
0-4 @ 1.22%
2-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 40.86%

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