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ML
Championship | Gameweek 19
Dec 16, 2020 at 7pm UK
Riverside Stadium
LT

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Luton

Akpom (52')
Assombalonga (90+2')
Morsy (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Rea (75')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.58%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 23.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawLuton Town
48.58%27.63%23.78%
Both teams to score 43.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.84%61.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.89%81.11%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.64%25.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.84%60.15%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.09%41.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.64%78.36%
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 48.57%
    Luton Town 23.78%
    Draw 27.62%
MiddlesbroughDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 14.58%
2-0 @ 10%
2-1 @ 8.7%
3-0 @ 4.58%
3-1 @ 3.98%
3-2 @ 1.73%
4-0 @ 1.57%
4-1 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 48.57%
1-1 @ 12.68%
0-0 @ 10.62%
2-2 @ 3.78%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 27.62%
0-1 @ 9.24%
1-2 @ 5.51%
0-2 @ 4.02%
1-3 @ 1.6%
0-3 @ 1.17%
2-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 23.78%

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