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League Two | Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
SU

MK Dons
4 - 4
Sutton

Payne (14'), Gilbey (41'), Tezgel (60'), Harrison (70')
O'Hora (67'), Harrison (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Duke-McKenna (50', 75'), Lakin (62'), Smith (90+1')
Eastmond (65'), Hart (67')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 3-5 MK Dons
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 2-2 Crawley
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 2-1 Sutton United

Although MK Dons will have one eye on the playoffs, the hosts are likely to use Saturday's match as a warm-up game ahead of the upcoming race for promotion. Sutton have won just four times on the road this season in 22 attempts, meaning that a safety-clinching victory in Buckinghamshire is unlikely this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 54.1%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 24.42% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.37%) and 1-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawSutton United
54.1% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02) 21.49% (0.00099999999999767 0) 24.42% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 63.14% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.51% (0.027000000000001 0.03)35.49% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.46% (0.030999999999999 0.03)57.54% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.75% (0.0049999999999955 0)13.25% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)40.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.78% (0.030999999999992 0.03)27.22% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.36% (0.042000000000002 0.04)62.64% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 54.1%
    Sutton United 24.42%
    Draw 21.49%
MK DonsDrawSutton United
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.29% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.46% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.26%
4-0 @ 2.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-1 @ 1.32%
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-3 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 54.1%
1-1 @ 9.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 6.24% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 3.61% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.82% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.49%
1-2 @ 6.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 4.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.68% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 24.42%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Harrogate 3-5 MK Dons
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 1-4 Mansfield
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 0-2 MK Dons
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 3-3 MK Dons
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 5-0 Walsall
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 5-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 23 at 5.15pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 2-2 Crawley
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 2-2 Sutton
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 1-3 Stockport
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 3-1 Swindon
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 1-2 Sutton
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 3-1 Accrington
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two


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