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ML
Europa League | Round of 16
Mar 18, 2021 at 5.55pm UK
Aker Stadion
GL

Molde
2 - 1
Granada

Vallejo (29' og.), Hestad (90' pen.)
Risa (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Soldado (72')
Diaz (7')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Granada had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.

Result
MoldeDrawGranada
46.75%24.74%28.52%
Both teams to score 55.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.87%47.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.64%69.36%
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.77%20.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.45%52.55%
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.7%30.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.53%66.47%
Score Analysis
    Molde 46.75%
    Granada 28.52%
    Draw 24.73%
MoldeDrawGranada
1-0 @ 9.79%
2-1 @ 9.35%
2-0 @ 7.83%
3-1 @ 4.98%
3-0 @ 4.17%
3-2 @ 2.97%
4-1 @ 1.99%
4-0 @ 1.67%
4-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 46.75%
1-1 @ 11.69%
0-0 @ 6.13%
2-2 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 7.32%
1-2 @ 6.98%
0-2 @ 4.37%
1-3 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 2.22%
0-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 28.52%

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