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Copa Libertadores | Second Round
Mar 9, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera

Wanderers
1 - 0
Bolivar

K (55')
Torres (6'), Araujo (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Justiniano (79'), Granell (90+1')
Menacho (90+6')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Montevideo Wanderers and Bolivar.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 52.28%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 25.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 2-1 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Montevideo WanderersDrawBolivar
25.19%22.53%52.28%
Both teams to score 60.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.28%39.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.92%62.07%
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.09%28.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.21%64.78%
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.7%15.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.97%44.02%
Score Analysis
    Montevideo Wanderers 25.19%
    Bolivar 52.28%
    Draw 22.53%
Montevideo WanderersDrawBolivar
2-1 @ 6.4%
1-0 @ 5.49%
2-0 @ 3.41%
3-1 @ 2.65%
3-2 @ 2.48%
3-0 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 25.19%
1-1 @ 10.3%
2-2 @ 6%
0-0 @ 4.42%
3-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.53%
1-2 @ 9.67%
0-1 @ 8.3%
0-2 @ 7.79%
1-3 @ 6.05%
0-3 @ 4.88%
2-3 @ 3.76%
1-4 @ 2.84%
0-4 @ 2.29%
2-4 @ 1.76%
1-5 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 52.28%

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