Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.66%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Danubio win was 0-1 (11.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo Wanderers would win this match.
