While Monaco have not been all that stellar defensively, their attacking depth has carried them through this season, scoring the second-most goals in Ligue 1 (62) while being held off the scoresheet in only one away fixture.
For as well as Montpellier have played lately, their lack of discipline in recent outings is a concern, and we believe the visitors will be able to take advantage of that on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 36.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.66%) and 2-0 (4.99%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
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