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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 8, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
M

Montpellier
2 - 3
Marseille

Peres (30' og.), Laborde (34')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Under (68'), Payet (75', 80')
Peres (44')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawMarseille
35.16%26.4%38.44%
Both teams to score 52.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.01%51.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.28%73.72%
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.7%28.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.97%64.03%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.61%26.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.45%61.55%
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 35.16%
    Marseille 38.44%
    Draw 26.4%
Montpellier HSCDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 9.43%
2-1 @ 7.93%
2-0 @ 5.95%
3-1 @ 3.34%
3-0 @ 2.5%
3-2 @ 2.22%
4-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 35.16%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 7.47%
2-2 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.4%
0-1 @ 9.95%
1-2 @ 8.37%
0-2 @ 6.63%
1-3 @ 3.72%
0-3 @ 2.94%
2-3 @ 2.34%
1-4 @ 1.24%
0-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 38.44%

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