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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8
Oct 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
M

Montpellier
0 - 5
Marseille


Nzingoula (28')
Dzodic (64')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Wahi (1'), Harit (36'), Hojbjerg (40'), Greenwood (58'), Henrique (73')
Cornelius (19'), Rowe (51'), Sternal (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reims 4-2 Montpellier
Sunday, October 6 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Angers
Friday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 1-4 Marseille

Marseille have conceded in all of their last 25 away Ligue 1 games - the worst run of any team in Europe's top-five leagues - and a manager like De Zerbi will not be focusing on correcting that. However, with the talent they have in attack, the visitors should have enough to outscore a Montpellier side that has the worst defensive record in the division, and in doing so, return to winning ways. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawMarseille
29.71% (-1.3 -1.3) 24.72% (-0.224 -0.22) 45.57% (1.523 1.52)
Both teams to score 56.44% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.62% (0.376 0.38)46.38% (-0.379 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.33% (0.355 0.36)68.66% (-0.355 -0.36)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.93% (-0.69199999999999 -0.69)29.07% (0.691 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.01% (-0.862 -0.86)64.98% (0.861 0.86)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.57% (0.833 0.83)20.43% (-0.834 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.13% (1.307 1.31)52.87% (-1.308 -1.31)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 29.71%
    Marseille 45.57%
    Draw 24.72%
Montpellier HSCDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 7.34% (-0.263 -0.26)
2-1 @ 7.2% (-0.212 -0.21)
2-0 @ 4.53% (-0.254 -0.25)
3-1 @ 2.96% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.87% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 29.71%
1-1 @ 11.65% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 5.94% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 9.43% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 9.25% (0.145 0.15)
0-2 @ 7.49% (0.258 0.26)
1-3 @ 4.9% (0.198 0.2)
0-3 @ 3.97% (0.233 0.23)
2-3 @ 3.03% (0.065 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.95% (0.125 0.13)
0-4 @ 1.58% (0.13 0.13)
2-4 @ 1.2% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 45.57%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Reims 4-2 Montpellier
Sunday, October 6 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 2-1 Montpellier
Saturday, September 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 3-2 Auxerre
Sunday, September 22 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 3-0 Montpellier
Sunday, September 15 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-3 Nantes
Saturday, August 31 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 6-0 Montpellier
Friday, August 23 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Angers
Friday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-0 Marseille
Sunday, September 29 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 2-3 Marseille
Sunday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-0 Nice
Saturday, September 14 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 1-3 Marseille
Saturday, August 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-2 Reims
Sunday, August 25 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1


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