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Coupe de France | Semi-Finals
May 12, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
PL

Montpellier
2 - 2
PSG

PSG win 6-5 on penalties
Laborde (45'), Delort (83')
Ferri (52'), Mollet (65'), Savanier (89')
FT
(aet)
Mbappe (10', 50')
Bakker (89'), Neymar (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 55.89%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 23.58% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.94%) and 1-3 (6.78%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.69%).

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawParis Saint-Germain
23.58%20.53%55.89%
Both teams to score 65.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.26%31.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.73%53.27%
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.21%25.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.27%60.73%
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.5%11.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.63%36.36%
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 23.58%
    Paris Saint-Germain 55.89%
    Draw 20.53%
Montpellier HSCDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 5.89%
1-0 @ 4.02%
3-2 @ 2.88%
2-0 @ 2.72%
3-1 @ 2.66%
3-0 @ 1.23%
4-2 @ 0.98%
4-1 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 23.58%
1-1 @ 8.69%
2-2 @ 6.37%
0-0 @ 2.96%
3-3 @ 2.08%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 20.53%
1-2 @ 9.4%
0-2 @ 6.94%
1-3 @ 6.78%
0-1 @ 6.41%
0-3 @ 5%
2-3 @ 4.59%
1-4 @ 3.67%
0-4 @ 2.71%
2-4 @ 2.49%
1-5 @ 1.59%
0-5 @ 1.17%
3-4 @ 1.12%
2-5 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 55.89%

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