Every game carries significance for Atalanta right now - and they are coming around every few days - so a more rested and relaxed Monza side may be able to take advantage. As Sunday's visitors do not tend to travel well, a score draw could be the final outcome.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Monza had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.17) 
