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M
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Mar 1, 2021 at 8.15pm UK
Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas
B

Moreirense
2 - 2
Belenenses

Martins (11', 37')
Pacheco (23'), Simao (80'), Rosic (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Silva (17'), Cassierra (72')
Silva (31'), Sithole (51')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belenenses win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belenenses win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.43%) and 1-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (12.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
MoreirenseDrawBelenenses
32.05%30.88%37.06%
Both teams to score 39.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.1%67.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.13%85.87%
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.24%38.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.51%75.49%
Belenenses Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.77%35.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.02%71.97%
Score Analysis
    Moreirense 32.04%
    Belenenses 37.06%
    Draw 30.88%
MoreirenseDrawBelenenses
1-0 @ 12.93%
2-1 @ 6.4%
2-0 @ 6.13%
3-1 @ 2.02%
3-0 @ 1.94%
3-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 32.04%
0-0 @ 13.65%
1-1 @ 13.5%
2-2 @ 3.34%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 30.88%
0-1 @ 14.24%
0-2 @ 7.43%
1-2 @ 7.05%
0-3 @ 2.59%
1-3 @ 2.45%
2-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 37.06%

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