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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1
Sep 20, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
FL

Moreirense
2 - 0
Farense

Abreu (2'), Nuno (55')
D'Alberto (31'), Abreu (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mansilla (22'), Isidoro (61'), Oudrhiri (86'), Bandarra (90+4')
Defendi (49')
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and SC Farense.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.

Result
MoreirenseDrawSC Farense
39.34%26.8%33.86%
Both teams to score 51.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.23%53.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.75%75.25%
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.27%26.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.01%61.99%
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70%30%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.89%66.11%
Score Analysis
    Moreirense 39.33%
    SC Farense 33.86%
    Draw 26.79%
MoreirenseDrawSC Farense
1-0 @ 10.57%
2-1 @ 8.4%
2-0 @ 6.98%
3-1 @ 3.7%
3-0 @ 3.07%
3-2 @ 2.23%
4-1 @ 1.22%
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 39.33%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 8.02%
2-2 @ 5.06%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 9.65%
1-2 @ 7.67%
0-2 @ 5.81%
1-3 @ 3.08%
0-3 @ 2.33%
2-3 @ 2.03%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 33.86%


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