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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 16
Dec 5, 2020 at 3pm UK
Fir Park Stadium
HL

Motherwell
0 - 3
Hibernian


Watt (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Boyle (59'), Doidge (89'), McGinn (90+5')
McGinn (89')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawHibernian
32%25.29%42.71%
Both teams to score 55.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.12%47.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.94%70.06%
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.71%28.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36%64%
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.64%22.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.15%55.85%
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 32%
    Hibernian 42.71%
    Draw 25.28%
MotherwellDrawHibernian
1-0 @ 7.99%
2-1 @ 7.55%
2-0 @ 5.04%
3-1 @ 3.18%
3-2 @ 2.38%
3-0 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 32%
1-1 @ 11.96%
0-0 @ 6.32%
2-2 @ 5.66%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 9.47%
1-2 @ 8.96%
0-2 @ 7.1%
1-3 @ 4.47%
0-3 @ 3.54%
2-3 @ 2.83%
1-4 @ 1.68%
0-4 @ 1.33%
2-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 42.71%

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