SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 54.14%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 22.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Livingston |
54.14% ( 0.43) | 23.04% ( 0.09) | 22.82% ( -0.54) |
| Both teams to score 55.65% ( -1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.53% ( -1) | 44.47% ( 1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.16% ( -0.98) | 66.84% ( 0.97) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.65% ( -0.21) | 16.35% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.04% ( -0.38) | 45.96% ( 0.37) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.53% ( -1.03) | 33.47% ( 1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.9% ( -1.13) | 70.1% ( 1.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.27% Total : 54.14% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.03% | 0-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.3% Total : 22.82% |
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