SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 53.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for NS Mura had a probability of 22.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a NS Mura win it was 1-0 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NS Mura | Draw | Celje |
22.55% ( 1.01) | 23.77% ( 0.26) | 53.68% ( -1.28) |
| Both teams to score 52.93% ( 0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.08% ( 0.02) | 47.91% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.91% ( 0.02) | 70.09% ( -0.02) |
| NS Mura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.36% ( 0.98) | 35.63% ( -0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.6% ( 1) | 72.4% ( -1) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.23% ( -0.46) | 17.77% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.53% ( -0.8) | 48.47% ( 0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| NS Mura | Draw | Celje |
| 1-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 2% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.92% Total : 22.55% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.76% | 0-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 9.75% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 9.45% ( -0.3)1-3 @ 5.62% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 5.44% ( -0.26)2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.43% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 2.35% ( -0.15)2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.56% Total : 53.68% |
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