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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 35
Apr 23, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
 
E

NAC Breda
1 - 2
SBV Excelsior

El Allouchi (45' pen.)
Adilehou (15')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Niemeijer (55', 60')
Mendes Moreira (75'), Skogen (77')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between NAC Breda and SBV Excelsior.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 52.92%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 24.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
NAC BredaDrawSBV Excelsior
52.92%22.71%24.38%
Both teams to score 58.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.67%41.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.27%63.73%
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.35%15.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.32%44.68%
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.58%30.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.38%66.62%
Score Analysis
    NAC Breda 52.92%
    SBV Excelsior 24.38%
    Draw 22.7%
NAC BredaDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.75%
1-0 @ 8.83%
2-0 @ 8.19%
3-1 @ 6.02%
3-0 @ 5.06%
3-2 @ 3.59%
4-1 @ 2.79%
4-0 @ 2.35%
4-2 @ 1.66%
5-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 52.92%
1-1 @ 10.5%
2-2 @ 5.8%
0-0 @ 4.76%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.7%
1-2 @ 6.25%
0-1 @ 5.67%
0-2 @ 3.37%
1-3 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 2.3%
0-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 24.38%

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